Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Sea Tropical Cyclone Three Day Outlook for the Coral Sea Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Sunday 11 January 2015 for the period until midnight EST Wednesday 14 January 2015. Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A monsoon trough currently lies over the northern Coral Sea with two lows embedded in it. A low near the Solomon islands lies in a marginally favourable environment for development and may intensify a little during Monday morning, possibly reaching Category 1 tropical cyclone strength, before moving to the southeast and remaining well away from Queensland. A second low lies approximately 500km east of Cooktown and is currently in an unfavourable environment for development. It is expected to remain offshore early in the week. The environment may improve a little by mid week, leading to a risk of the low beginning to develop as it moves towards the Queensland Coast. Likelihood of the low near the Solomon Islands becoming a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on: Monday Moderate Tuesday Low Wednesday Very low Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the northwest Coral Sea on: Monday Low Tuesday Low Wednesday Moderate bom.gov.au/qld/forecasts/cyclone.shtml
Posted on: Sun, 11 Jan 2015 04:43:29 +0000