Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Three Day Outlook for - TopicsExpress



          

Tropical Cyclone Outlook for The Coral Three Day Outlook for the Coral Sea Issued at 2:30 pm EST on Saturday 10 January 2015 for the period until midnight EST Tuesday 13 January 2015. Existing Cyclones in the Eastern Region: Nil. Potential Cyclones: A monsoon trough currently lies over the northern Coral Sea with two lows embedded in it. A low near the Solomon islands lies in a favourable environment for development and is expected to intensify during the weekend, possibly to tropical cyclone strength, before moving to the southeast early next week and remaining well away from Queensland. A second low lies northeast of Queensland and is expected to remain offshore and in an unfavourable environment during the weekend. There remains the risk that this low may develop further and move towards the Queensland Coast during next week. Likelihood of the low near the Solomon Islands becoming a tropical cyclone in the Eastern Region on: Sunday High Monday Moderate Tuesday Low Likelihood of a tropical cyclone in the northwest Coral Sea on: Sunday Low Monday Moderate Tuesday Moderate NOTE:The likelihood is an estimate of the chance of each system being a tropical cyclone in the Region for each day. Very Low: less than 5% Moderate: 20 to 50% Low: 5% to 20% High: over 50% The area of coverage for this outlook is the Coral Sea and northern Tasman Sea west of 160E.
Posted on: Sat, 10 Jan 2015 13:43:06 +0000

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