UPDATE: MIDWEEK STORM. WED(PM)/THURS(AM) RISK: NATIONWIDE: HIGHEST RISK: WESTERN SEABOARD. EXPOSED SITES. A continued difficult forecast as there has been a little bit of variation in todays model runs. A varying degree of downgrade to the storm intensity coupled with a more northerly track in todays model runs. In short this could be a wobble within the models or its good news to an extent. However we are not out of the woods yet as we are still 48hrs out from the event and like all storms they are unpredictable and we could see either a further downgrade(s) or further upgrade(s) tomorrow and early Wednesday. Going on current data which would be from the midday runs today some of the HiRes bring gusts of 120kmh to 140kmh to western coastal counties to gusts of 100kmh to120kmh elsewhere depending on which model you looked at today. As we pointed out this is approx a 10 to 15 percent downgrade in some areas so lets hope for further downgrades tomorrow etc. Wednesday morning falling snow and accumulations will still be a problem in areas but as this storm makes landfall early to mid afternoon on Wednesday the precipitation will turn back to rain leading to spot and localised flooding later on Wednesday night. We would continue to urge people to check in on the elderly and those living alone over the coming days with lying snow & strong storm potential not a great mix for the more vulnerable in our community. Check your property for loose fixings aka roof tiles, bowes on trees, trampolines, wheelie bins and fences etc. Rather be safe than sorry even if this forecast is overcooked! Next full update tomorrow night on storm potential, fingers crossed for further downgrades!!
Posted on: Mon, 12 Jan 2015 22:15:00 +0000
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