WEATHER SYNOPSIS: ¤ Jan 13 at 0130pm ¤ ■ 0 Potential;1 LPA/s;0 Active;1 Threat ■ ☆ TODAYS FORECAST w/in PAR ⊙ NORTHEAST MONSOON in effect much of the Country. ⊙ ITCZ in effect over Visayas & Mindanao. ※ It will bring cold & moderate to heavy rains, that may cause Floods & Landslides. ⊙ 92W SYSTEM is forecast to enter PAR b/w 15th & 16th threatens Visayas & Mindanao as TS or STS CATEGORY with HEAVY to INTENSE RAINS near the center & to the Northern Periphery of System. ☆ FORECAST IN NEXT 7 DAYS OUTSIDE PAR * within 110E to 160E & Equator to 30N * ⊙ 92W SYSTEM a STRONG SYSTEM & a RAIN-MAKER. → located near 8.5n 142.5e moving W to WNW slowly with 60kph (33kts) max winds within 320km radius from the center. → 92W SYSTEM it should be TD now based on NOAA SURFACE WINDS ANALYSIS. → In latest run, A LANDFALL SCENARIO. In our last 5 runs, a RECURVE & NEAR MISS OVER EASTERN VISAYAS still possible, but these LANDFALL SCENARIO came out twice randomly, in the same output. → UNCERTAINTY after Day 16th, due to the movement of strong HPA over China. → It will be closely watch/monitor for possible changes or new developments occur. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Jan 13 ※ → The MJO is moving across the western Pacific Ocean and is likely to enhance convection over the Coral Sea and South Pacific this week. → Model forecasts for the MJO suggest it will weaken later this week and not be a strong influence on tropical weather. → The risk of tropical cyclone development will remain elevated over Australias northern waters and the far western Pacific Ocean while the monsoon trough remains active in the region. ※ Next MJO Update : Jan 20 ※ ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ■ Satellite Imagery: NRL & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity from World Meteorological Organization. ■ Coordinates, Movements, Wind Speed from NOAA. ■ Invest System info from NRL. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update from NOAA-ESRL. ■ Other Weather System from CIMSS. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Tue, 13 Jan 2015 05:45:45 +0000
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