WEATHER SYNOPSIS: ¤ Jan 17 at 0130pm ¤ ■ 1 Potential;0 LPA/s;1 Active;1 Threat ■ ☆ TODAYS FORECAST w/in PAR ⊙ STS 01W(Mekkhala/Amang) → near 12n 126e moving WNW to NW slowly with 118kph (64kts) max winds within 33km radius from the center. >64kts it is a Typhoon Category. (+/- 0.5 to 1° margin error) → LANDFALL OVER b/w N- & E-SAMAR within 3 to 5hrs. → THE MIRACLE: A MINIMAL IMPACT within the path of the System on both winds & rains, as the max winds radius continue to shrink & rainclouds thinning. → It will be closely watch/monitor for possible changes or new developments occur. ☆ FORECAST IN NEXT 7 DAYS OUTSIDE PAR * within 110E to 160E & Equator to 30N * ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA(PA) 2 for next TC FORMATION to be visible b/w 21st & 23rd within the active ITCZ. LOCATION, TRACKS, & CHARACTERISTICS OF THE SYSTEM will be released in next few days. It will be closely watch/monitor for new developments occur. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Jan 13 ※ → The MJO is moving across the western Pacific Ocean and is likely to enhance convection over the Coral Sea and South Pacific this week. → Model forecasts for the MJO suggest it will weaken later this week and not be a strong influence on tropical weather. → The risk of tropical cyclone development will remain elevated over Australias northern waters and the far western Pacific Ocean while the monsoon trough remains active in the region. ※ Next MJO Update : Jan 20 ※ ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ■ Satellite Imagery: NRL & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity from World Meteorological Organization. ■ Coordinates, Movements, Wind Speed from NOAA. ■ Invest System info from NRL. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update from NOAA-ESRL. ■ Other Weather System from CIMSS. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Sat, 17 Jan 2015 05:36:53 +0000
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