WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Oct 01 at 0130 pm ■ 1 Convection;1 LPA/s;1 Active;2 Possible Threat ■ ⊙ 18W.PHANFONE (Severe Tropical Storm) ⊙ → near 18N 142.5E → WNW to W w/ 58-63kts winds → Heading towards Taiwan-Okinawa(Japan) → Remain a THREAT to Northern Luzon. → Forecast to ENTER PAR b/w 3rd & 4th. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON over Vis-Min. → NO SIGNIFICANT rainfall within the Forecast. → NE MONSOON may affect the movement in next few days. → It will be name as NENENG, locally. ■ YELLOW - Monitoring is Advice → Cagayan Valley including the Extreme Northern Luzon ⊙ 90W SYSTEM ⊙ → 6.5N 165E (Marshall Island) → W w/ 20-35kts winds. → NOT SEEN ON THE IMAGERY. ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 3(PA3) ⊙ → To APPEAR b/w 3rd to 4th, over South China Sea(Inside PAR)/Far West of Mindoro. → Tracks remain STATIONARY in next 5 days. → INTERACTION w/ 18W SYSTEM, is possible. → Monitoring is advice. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 23 ※ → Status: Tropical activity was GENERALLY SUPPRESSED over much of the Australasian region this past week (including the Indian sub-continent), EXCEPT countries surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea (including the Philippines, Taiwan and the southeast coast of China). → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: An INTENSIFICATION of tropical activity in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. → Next MJO Update : Sept 30 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ Thanks to NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Basic Weather Forecasting & Pre-Forecast Tracking. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Wed, 01 Oct 2014 05:48:03 +0000
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