WINTER STORM UPDATE: SUNDAY EVENING (Part 1 of 3) HEADLINES: Winter storm warnings up for all of South Jersey, with Monmouth and Ocean counties under blizzard warnings. Both warnings begin at noon on Monday, and last through 6pm Tuesday evening. A coastal flood watch is also up for the entire Jersey shore for the possibility of moderate tidal flooding during your Monday night high tide, which occurs just after midnight. TIMING: Worst of storm starting late Monday afternoon, and especially Monday night into early Tuesday afternoon. Light snow develops Monday morning, but stays light and intermittent through the first two-thirds of Monday. It may even be mixed with a few raindrops as well. But by late Monday afternoon on, its all snow, and increasingly widespread and heavy. Snow tapers off later Tuesday afternoon or evening. TYPE: Again, primarily snow, outside of a little light rain mixed in Monday before the main event and the storm gets cranking. Increasingly windy too. SNOW: Heaviest totals the farther northeast you go, less southwest. So from the lower Cape and along Delaware Bay west through lower Cumberland and Salem counties, lets say 6-12. For much of Atlantic county points north, a foot or more looks likely. And for Ocean and Monmouth counties, 18-24+ looks to be the local South Jersey jackpot. Totals could approach two to three feet from NE NJ to NYC to southern New England. TRAVEL: Monday morning commute may only feature some light snow, and travel Monday itself wont be bad as well see a light mix of rain and snow scattered throughout South Jersey. The evening commute will become increasingly slick as the steadier snow arrives, with the worst travel Monday night into Tuesday. Expect major travel disruptions, especially the farther north you go, and travel restrictions are likely too. I cant imagine there will be much of a Tuesday morning commute during the height of the storm, with widespread closures likely. Travel will not improve until later Tuesday afternoon and evening at the earlier, more likely Wednesday morning. STORM SUMMARY: This will be a major snowfall for most of South Jersey, and a historic snow with widespread blizzard conditions towards the North Jersey shore and especially NYC and Long Island into Rhode Island, Massachusetts, and Connecticut, where blizzard warnings are up. In parts 2 and 3, Ill have a snowfall map and more on the forecast, including a breakdown of what should go right and what could go wrong with this complicated and complex forecast.
Posted on: Sun, 25 Jan 2015 22:39:05 +0000
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