Well I am going to post this, because , as a forecaster I fell the need to. Models have been you know up and down cold then warm they change run to run. So what I need to do is I need to look at more then just model guidance. We have 2 things currently that models can and do struggle with we have 1 a pattern change and 2 we have a split flow pattern models straggle with both. So I need to look at more the AAM Anomalies and the MJO supported the 12Z model suit of today which was I well call it supportive to snow lovers. We most likely wont well I will say we wont have a winter like last year as far as the brutal cold of last year with days of frigid cold all the time we will get cold snaps it will warm up get cold again, but, the key is we dont need weeks of highs In the teens and single digits lows below zero to get snowstorms we have a forecasted negative EPO and we have as seen in the video that our Head forecaster made I believe it was yesterday or the day before that showed a negative North Atlantic Oscillation. Now last winter some places got the 3rd snowiest winter on record In this coverage area to expect that again this winter isnt being reasonable, however, I do think snow comes. This was a very long post. I apologize, but, please read it. Enjoy the rest of your afternoon and evening. -Anthony
Posted on: Mon, 22 Dec 2014 20:06:35 +0000
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