What better day than to give a winter update! What better day than to give a winter update! This is the Pacific Ocean Temperature anomaly map for this year. The pacific plays a huge part in our winter. ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2013/anomnight.9.12.2013.gif this is what it was for this time last year ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2013/anomnight.9.12.2013.gif Last year actually looked better in the area where El Nino Matters(between 140 and 160 degrees by the equator) but that El Nino faded into a neutral by winter and ruined our chance for a big winter Also last year….water was way colder than normal around the Gulf of Alaska which typically means a trough in the west and a ridge in the east which is bad for snowlovers. This year, water is colder in the El Nino regions but has been warming lately but around the Gulf of Alaska, the water is much warmer. In fact, it’s warm everywhere but that’s not always a good thing. Generally you want it to be warm in the gulf of Alaska and cold West of that. That typically means a Ridge in the west(hot for them). Trough in the east(cold for us0 For snowlovers, here is what you want. Look at how warm and pronounced the El Nino region is and perfect signature in the Alaska region. This is a map from the great winter of 2002-2003 ospo.noaa.gov/data/sst/anomaly/2003/anomnight.2.3.2003.gif So what does this all mean for winter? I don’t know lol. We have to see if this warming in the El nino regions can produce at least a Weak El nino which I give a 40-60 chance of happening. Ideally, you want a moderate El nino anyway. My thoughts now is we will have one pretty good month of winter where its cold and snowy. The other 2 months will be a mixed bag. I am not seeing a warm winter….I am not seeing a big snow winter but I do think we will be a bit colder and snowier than last year as of now. But plenty of time to go.
Posted on: Thu, 12 Sep 2013 13:35:40 +0000
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