You never cite internal polling. Looks like they are in the death spiral. NEWS RELEASE FROM MARK HARRIS Raleigh, NC- The Mark Harris for US Senate Campaign released results from an internal poll conducted over March 11-13th 2014. The survey confirms some results reported by polling firms on North Carolinas United States Senate race: There is no clear frontrunner since no single candidate has broken out of the pack. The survey included 700 registered and very likely voters. The results show that among all the GOP Primary candidates Harris would draw 22% of the vote; Tillis would receive 33%; and Brannon 12%. In conducting the survey respondents were encouraged to choose a single candidate, which naturally lowered the undecided block. In the initial phase of the survey Harris, Tillis and Brannon are each rated high by the respondents as being able to defeat Hagan. The question was Who do you believe has the best chance of defeating Senator Kay Hagan in the general election? Harris was selected by 36%, Tillis was selected by 39% and Brannon was selected by 21%. Once Tillis character issues were outlined, as reported by the news media, only 21% of the respondents thought Tillis would be able to defeat Hagan in the fall. These results prove character moves voters. The undecideds and soft Tillis voters moved to Harris once they were told of Tillis character/ethical issues as reported by the news media. The Survey Toplines: 700 NC registered Republican and unaffiliated voters. Margin of error of +/- 3.7%. Poll was completed Thursday night of last week. 82% republican and 18% unaffiliated voters for the survey. Gender split 344 male and 356 female. The Republican voters have voted in at least three of the last four primaries and a high percentage (78%) voted for the Marriage Amendment. The unaffiliated voters move from party to party to support a candidate they prefer and a high percentage of them (55%) also voted for the Marriage Amendment. 12% of all respondents identified as African American; 3% as Asian or other; and 85% as white. Fifty-two percent were over 50 years of age and 48% were from 22 to 49. Some additional highlights: Harris name ID: Positive 28%; Negative 7%, Tillis Name ID: Positive 41%; Negative 18%. Asked who they preferred to win/would vote for in the GOP Primary: Harris 22%; Tillis 33%; Brannon 12%; all other candidates and undecided 33%. Among active church goers who attend some type religious service at least three times a month, Harris gets 34%; Tillis, 23%; and Brannon 21%. After being told of Tillis character issues at the end of the survey, the ballot question was asked again. This time Harris was at 38%; Tillis at 27%; and Brannon at 23%. Asked which candidate would be the strongest against Kay Hagan, Harris was at 36%; Tillis, 39%; and Brannon, 21%. After being told of Tillis character issues, Harris was at 47%; Tillis at 21%; and Brannon at 26%. Harris/Tillis head-to-head before voters were told of Tillis character/ethics issues: Harris 31%; Tillis 37%; remainder undecided. Harris/Tillis head-to-head after voters were told of Tillis character/ethics issues: Harris 43%; Tillis 22%; remainder undecided.
Posted on: Wed, 19 Mar 2014 05:38:19 +0000
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