...the poll everyone should be talking about – and so far aren’t – is one released this morning by the National Tertiary Education Union (NTEU). That poll was conducted by independent research company UMR Research over the period June 14-29, and it goes a lot further than Newspoll. The sample size of Newspoll is 1,159 people. The sample size of the NTEU poll is around 2,000 per cent larger, at 23,176 voters, and focused on 23 marginal electorates. And it’s the ‘marginal’ bit that will be spooking Liberal backbenchers this morning… and at least one front bencher. Christopher Pyne – architect of the higher education cuts that will make a degree cost more like a mortgage - may be perennially unpopular as the Minister for Education, but it turns out he’s also unpopular as the Member for Sturt. At the most recent election, Pyne held a margin of 10 percent, making Sturt a relatively safe seat. But if an election were held at the end of June, Pyne would have lost his seat with just 45 per cent of the vote. That’s a swing of 15 per cent to Labor. The news is similarly dire for 15 other Coalition members, with an average swing against the Coalition across their seats of 10 per cent. Read more: https://newmatilda/2014/07/14/higher-ed-poll-predicts-pyne-gone-coalition-wiped-out
Posted on: Wed, 19 Nov 2014 09:53:26 +0000
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