The Houthi group has reached the high point of its military power and has achieved major victories in its battles in Saada, Amran, al-Jawf, and Hajjah provinces. It could potentially score other successes in battles outside these provinces, but if it embarks on a full-scale campaign against Sanaa aiming to forcefully seize power and overthrow the republican regime, replacing it with an imamate or monarchy, this would lead to military and political suicide. The movement would lose elements that have strengthened it and that it has fostered over the last ten years. The only way to maintain its strength is to transform itself into a political group that takes advantage of its previous military victories to assert its presence on the political scene. This can be achieved through helping the program of the National Dialogue Conference succeed, which would enable it to exploit many of the gains it has made over more than a decade of confrontation with both the state and rival tribes.
Posted on: Thu, 07 Aug 2014 14:48:21 +0000
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