WEATHER SYNOPSIS: Oct 03 at 0630 am ■ 1 Convection;1 LPA/s;1 Active;2 Possible Threat ■ ⊙ 18W.PHANFONE (Typhoon 1) ⊙ → near 22.5N 136E → NNW to N w/ 64-80kts winds → Heading towards North Pacific, NO LANDFALL SCENARIO. → Forecast to ENTER & EXIT PAR on 4th. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON over Vis-Min. → NO SIGNIFICANT rainfall within the Forecast. → It will be name as NENENG, locally. ⊙ 90W SYSTEM ⊙ → Kosrae-Pohnpei area. NOT SHOWN ON SATELLITE IMAGERY. → W to WNW w/ 20-35kts winds. → THREATENS Taiwan, Okinawa, Japan. → It will ENHANCED the SW MONSOON over Vis-Min. → NO SIGNIFICANT rainfall within the Forecast. → It will be name as 19W.Vongfong. → Monitoring is advice for Luzon. ⊙ POTENTIAL AREA 3(PA3) ⊙ → To APPEAR b/w 3rd to 4th, over South China Sea(Inside PAR)/Far West of Mindoro. → THREATENS Southern-Central Vietnam. → It will be name as 20W.Nuri. → Monitoring is advice for Luzon and Palawan. ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update ■ ※ As of Sept 30 ※ → Status: Tropical activity was GENERALLY SUPPRESSED over much of the Australasian region this past week (including the Indian sub-continent), EXCEPT countries surrounding the South China Sea and East China Sea (including the Philippines, Taiwan and the southeast coast of China). → South China Sea: SW Monsoon is ACTIVE and also allowed for a TC to form near Japan. → West Pacific Ocean: An INTENSIFICATION of tropical activity in the Northwestern Pacific Ocean. → Next MJO Update : Oct 07 ~~~~~ °° Winds:1 kts = 1.852 kph ~ TD:139 kts °° Rainfall: 1mm/min = 0.0394 in/min = 2.364 in/hr °° Distance: 1 mi = 1.609 km ■ Satellite Imagery: GOES & NOAA Satellite. ■ Category/Intensity by World Meteorological Organization ■ Madden-Julian Oscillation(MJO) Update by NOAA-ESRL ■ Thanks to NRL, CIMSS, NOAA, JTWC & WMO for PTU/PWS Basic Weather Forecasting & Pre-Forecast Tracking. © philweathersystem.weebly/
Posted on: Thu, 02 Oct 2014 22:36:58 +0000
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